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Politics / Society 

2000-2050  

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NOTE: To interpret entries, please refer to the Forecast Key below. The information currently available from the FRC Track pages is incomplete and in summary form. These public pages are intended for the general reader and  lack detailed information and analysis. To submit feedback on any FRC Track forecast, or to learn more about the detailed forecasts in the FRC database, please contact us at any time.

 

 

Politics/Society Track

2000

 

 

2001

 

 

2002

 

 

2003

 

03-01. 107 million in US will own Web-enabled cellular phones. | P.8 Strong Positive: E | Gartner, Adam Sarner
03-02. 8 million in US will own Web-enabled PDAs. | P.8 Strong Positive: E | www.gartner.com Gartner, Adam Sarner
03-03. Interpol presses for a global DNA database of criminal suspects. | www.smartbusinessmag.com Smart Business, Future Forensics, 4/01

2004

 

04-01. US lawmakers call for "unerasable" hard drives to aid in forensics | www.smartbusinessmag.com Smart Business

2005

 

 

2006

 

 

2007

 

 

2008

 

 

2009

 

09-01. Courts accept sniffer analysis, identifying individuals through their body's unique chemical odor. | www.smartbusinessmag.com Smart Business

2010

 

 

2015

 

15-01. Leisure-oriented business will dominate the world economy and account for over half the US gross national product. | www.wfs.org World Future Society

2016

 

16-01. Dow Jones will hit 40,000 | David Elias

2020

 

20-01. Child malnutrition widespread without biotechnology intervention | www.wfs.org World Future Society 

2021

 

21-01. Neuroscientists demonstrate cerebral image capturing, turning memories into images | www.smartbusinessmag.com Smart Business

2022

 

22-01. Consumption of artificial meats, vegetables, bread, and other foodstuffs.  | P .4 Strong Positive | George Washington University

2025

 

 

2030

 

30-01. Over half of all U.S. adults will be 50 years or older | Jack Peterson

2035

 

35-01. Economy / Government: Proliferation of "intelligent" robots eliminates vast work sectors in developed countries. | P.7 Strong Negative: P, M | [see forecast T30-01]

2040

 

 

2045

 

 

2050

 

50-01. Humanity could emerge into a period of rapid, but manageable, evolutionary growth

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Forecast Key

FRC Probability Estimates

P .99

Forecast is virtually (99%) certain.

P .1

Forecast has a 10% probability of realization.

T =

If the forecast is true, then <weak / moderate / strong> <positive / adverse> effects can be expected {in Track(s) : <x>}

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