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Principle |
Explanation |
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1.
Whatever is logically
impossible is simply not possible (and can never be real). |
Consider
the law of non-contradiction: Nothing can both have
a property and lack it at the same time. For example, one
cannot be a bachelor and married at the same
time. A binary state cannot be both 1 and
0 at the same time.
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2.
Just because something
is logically possible doesn’t mean that it’s real. |
Our
universe is governed by physical laws and whatever
violates them cannot occur. Hence, although it’s
logically possible for a cow to jump over the moon
(nothing in the concept of 'cow' makes a 'flying cow' a
contradiction), it
is not physically possible because of scientific laws relating to
gravity and bovine physiology. (Note that many sci-fi
creations are simply beings that are currently considered
physically impossible.)
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3.
Just because something
seems physically impossible doesn’t mean that it is. |
As
our knowledge of the physical world increases, our
understanding of the limits of physical possibility
expands. For example, Einstein believed that quantum
entanglement of particles—"spooky action at a
distance," as he called it—is not physically
possible. But we now know that this seemingly impossible
phenomenon is real.
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4.
Just because something
is physically possible doesn’t mean that it’s real |
Possibility
does not imply actuality. To establish that something is
real, we need reliable evidence that it actually exists.
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5.
Just because something
seems (feels, appears) real doesn’t mean that it is. |
We
can’t infer what is from what seems. It is
an error in reasoning to conclude that an event or
phenomenon (X) is real because it seems real. Questions to
ask: Is our experience of X corroborated or shared by
others? Does our experience of or conclusion about X
contradict all known previous experience? Is it possible
that a peculiarity of human perception / cognition (e.g.
color constancy) could be operative?
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6.
It’s reasonable to
accept personal experience as reliable evidence only if
there is no reason to doubt its reliability. |
Reasons
for doubting include: perceptual construction, memory
construction, effects of stress, effects of expectancy and
belief, selective attention, misjudgments of
probabilities, subjective validation, altered states of
consciousness, poor observational conditions, sensory
impairments or limitations, and conflicts with other
observations / knowledge that we have good reason to
believe.
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7.
Just because you
believe that something is true doesn’t mean that it is. |
We
can’t make something true simply by believing it to be
true. The early Greek philosopher Protagoras (c. 490 –
c. 421 BC) held that "man is the measure of all
things." Today, this subjectivist notion of truth can
be seen in various quarters of the New Age movement, where
disagreements have been stopped dead in their tracks by
statements like "Well, this is my truth, and that’s
your truth."
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8.
Just because a group of
people believe that something is true doesn’t mean that
it is. |
As
an elaboration of individual subjectivism, social
relativism holds that society, not the individual,
determines what is true. But, society used to believe that
the Earth was flat, that the sun orbited the Earth, etc.
The same problems and contradictions that plague
individual subjectivism also befall social relativism.
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9.
We are justified in
believing a proposition when we have no good reason to
doubt it. |
Neither
knowledge nor reasonable belief requires certainty. A
proposition is beyond a reasonable doubt when it provides
the best explanation of something. But being justified in
believing a proposition is no guarantee of its truth.
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10.
There is good reason to
doubt a proposition if it conflicts with other
propositions that we have good reason to believe. |
The
quest for knowledge involves eliminating inconsistencies
among our beliefs. Sometimes we observe or are informed
about things that conflict with our background information—that
vast system of well-supported beliefs that we habitually
use to guide our thoughts and actions (much of it referred
to as "common sense").
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11.
The more background
information a proposition conflicts with, the more reason
there is to doubt it. |
The
structure of background information can be compared to the
structure of a large tree. Bigger branches (beliefs)
support smaller ones, which in turn support even smaller
ones. Accepting some claims is analogous to pruning small
branches—giving up only peripheral beliefs. Accepting
others is akin to cutting large branches.
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12.
Just because a claim
hasn’t been conclusively refuted doesn’t mean that it’s
true. |
The
truth of a claim is established by the amount and type of
evidence in its favor—not by the lack of evidence
against it. Also, attempting to place the burden of proof
on the nonbeliever is asking for the impossible: to prove
a universal negative (a claim to the effect that nothing
of a certain sort exists). To prove a universal negative,
one would have to exhaustively investigate all of time and
space.
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13.
Just because a claim
hasn’t been conclusively proven doesn’t mean that it’s
false. |
This
is the converse of the preceding principle. Here again,
the error in reasoning is an appeal to ignorance (as in
the argument that no one has ever proven that alternate
universes exist; therefore they don’t).
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14.
When there is
good reason to doubt a proposition, we should
proportion our belief to the evidence. |
The
more evidence we have for a proposition, the more credence
we should give it. The probability of the truth of a contingent
or scientific proposition can range from close to 0 (e.g.,
"Someday, humans will travel faster than the speed of
light.") to close to 1. It is generally held that
only logical truths warrant such strong belief that
their probability values equal 1 (e.g., "Either it is snowing or it
isn’t.")
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15.
There is good reason to
doubt a proposition if it conflicts with expert opinion. |
The
opinions of experts is superior to our own only in their
field of expertise. Just because someone is an expert in
one field doesn’t mean that he or she is an expert in
another.
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16.
If we have no reason to
doubt what’s disclosed to us through perception,
introspection, memory, or reason, then we are justified in
believing it. |
Only
if we have good reason for believing that they are not
functioning properly should we doubt the traditional
sources of knowledge: perception (the physical senses),
introspection (witnessing dispositional mental states,
memory, or reason.
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17.
There is such a
"thing" as objective truth. |
When
there is disagreement about a particular state of affairs,
the objectivist (moderate realist) believes that it is at
least theoretically possible to determine the truth
through rational discourse.
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18.
It is possible that
"normal" consciousness may not provide the best
perspective from which to view reality. |
Mysticism
is just tomorrow’s science dreamed today. –Marshall
McLuhan
Not
I, but the whole world says it: everything is one. –Heraclitus
When
one sees that everything exists as an illusion, one can
live in a higher sphere than ordinary man. –The Buddha
…often
my body would become so light that it lost all weight. –St.
Theresa
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19.
The scientific method
is self-correcting, and as a result, our most reliable
method for determining the truth of the physical world. |
The
scientific method is our most reliable means of
establishing the truth of an empirical proposition beyond
a reasonable doubt. Science seeks to understand the world
by identifying general principles that are both
explanatory and predictive. To minimize the potential for
error, inadequacy, or fraud, the scientific method
requires repeatable results. In general, any procedure
that serves to systematically eliminate reasonable grounds
for doubt can be considered scientific. For example,
consider this general method:
1.
Observe.
2.
Induce
(or creatively construct) general hypotheses (possible
explanations) for what was observed.
3.
Deduce
specific things that must also be true if a hypothesis
is true.
4.
Test
the hypothesis by checking out the deduced
implications.

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20.
Hypotheses are created,
not discovered. |
The
process of creating hypotheses (possible explanations) is
just as open-ended as the process of artistic creation.
Although inductive reasoning can lead to the formulation
of a hypothesis, other processes—like direct insight,
and imaginative construction—are also sources of useful
hypotheses. A good hypothesis must account
for all the evidence it is intended to explain.
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21.
A hypothesis is
scientific only if it is testable—that is, if it
predicts something other than what it was introduced to
explain. |
If
a hypothesis can not be tested, there is no way to
determine whether it is true or false. Hypotheses have
observable consequences only in the context of a
background theory. So, to be testable, a hypothesis must
predict something more than the background theory alone.

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22.
Other things being
equal, the best hypothesis is the one that is the most
fruitful. |
Even
in the face of adverse, initial evidence, some hypotheses
are attractive because they promise to open new lines of
research by making the most novel predictions. E.g.,
Einstein’s theory of relativity predicts that light
waves travelling near massive objects will appear to be
bent because space around these bodies is curved. At the
time, common wisdom was that light traveled in Euclidean
straight lines since photons had no mass.

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23.
Other things being
equal, the best hypothesis is the one that has the
greatest scope. |
The
more a hypothesis explains and predicts, the more it
systematizes and unifies our knowledge. E.g., Einstein’s
theory of relativity came to be preferred over Newtonian
theories of gravity and motion because the theory of
relativity explained and predicted everything that Newton’s
theories could and some things that it couldn’t (like
variations in Mercury’s orbit).

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24.
Other things being
equal, the best hypothesis is the simplest one. |
Although
not simple to define, scientific simplicity can be
understood as the fewest number of assumptions required by
a hypothesis. The simpler the hypothesis, the more it
unifies and systematizes our knowledge, and the less
likely it is to be false since there are fewer ways for it
to go wrong. Hence, Copernicus’s heliocentric theory of
planetary motion was considered preferable to Ptolemy’s
geocentric theory. This principle is often referred to as
Occam’s razor: Do not multiply entities beyond necessity

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25.
Other things being
equal, the best hypothesis is the most conservative one. |
The
hypothesis that fits best with established beliefs is to
be preferred. As with all the other criteria of adequacy
that can be applied to hypotheses, it may be reasonable to
accept a hypothesis that is not conservative if it
possesses other criteria of adequacy. And, we can not rank
these criteria in order of importance. There are
borderline cases where reasonable people can disagree and
clear-cut cases where disagreement would be irrational.
Hence, although it may not be clear at what point a person
becomes bald, it is irrational to consider that a person
with a full head of living hair is bald.

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26.
We should accept an
extraordinary hypothesis only if no ordinary one will
suffice. |
The
criteria of simplicity and conservatism should lead us to
prefer ordinary explanations over unusual and ad hoc
(created after the emergence of the phenomena)
explanations. It should be noted that with an ad hoc
hypothesis, there is no way to test it because no possible
data is allowed to count against it. Every apparent
counterexample is explained away and no unsuccessful
experiments are allowed to count.

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